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Red81
495126.6
459511.7
493618.5
Blue86
494636.6
493220.0
613024.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58602040801008186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4951
#24
26.60.9
25.025.9
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End4.0
blue by 10.0
4946
#10
36.60.9
29.330.2
Auto11.2
Teleop21.2
End4.2
Second
4936
#41
18.50.9
15.716.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 6.1
6130
#34
24.61.4
14.315.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End4.7
Third
4595
#51
11.71.6
16.217.8
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 8.4
4932
#49
20.01.4
14.415.9
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned25%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed