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Qual 262016 Windsor Essex Great Lakes Regional
Red101
107523.6
540921.5
467851.0
Blue115
613517.8
205668.6
542626.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86101406080120140101115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4678
#5
51.01.0
47.7→48.7
Auto16.0
Teleop29.5
End5.5
blue by 17.6
2056
#3
68.61.3
61.5→62.8
Auto19.2
Teleop35.6
End13.7
Second
1075
#44
23.61.0
21.0→22.0
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End3.4
blue by 2.9
5426
#17
26.52.1
19.8→21.9
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End6.5
Third
5409
#47
21.51.2
17.2→18.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End4.5
red by 3.7
6135
#45
17.82.1
14.9→17.0
Auto6.9
Teleop8.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsMissed