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Qual 372016 Windsor Essex Great Lakes Regional
Red68
503925.8
542626.5
493220.0
Blue116
497636.9
540824.0
491741.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5098015068116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5426
#17
26.51.3
23.8→25.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End6.5
blue by 14.7
4917
#4
41.21.5
35.7→37.2
Auto17.4
Teleop19.6
End4.3
Second
5039
#33
25.80.8
17.9→18.7
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.8
blue by 11.0
4976
#7
36.91.5
31.5→33.1
Auto11.1
Teleop19.5
End6.3
Third
4932
#49
20.01.3
14.2→15.5
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
blue by 4.0
5408
#28
24.02.6
20.8→23.4
Auto8.2
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned