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Qual 382016 Windsor Essex Great Lakes Regional
Red56
468822.1
620227.8
357117.5
Blue50
528822.0
540921.5
616217.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665502040801001201405650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6202
#20
27.80.8
22.4→21.6
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End4.8
red by 5.8
5288
#42
22.00.6
17.6→17.0
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.9
Second
4688
#6
22.10.8
21.6→20.8
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End2.5
red by 0.6
5409
#47
21.50.4
19.8→19.4
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End4.5
Third
3571
#14
17.50.8
19.0→18.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.8
End1.6
blue by 0.4
6162
#39
17.80.6
17.9→17.3
Auto1.8
Teleop12.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned16%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed