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Red131
136028.5
285234.4
238630.1
Blue68
588528.4
604621.0
67716.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9342020608012014016013168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#11
34.41.9
29.931.8
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
red by 6.0
5885
#13
28.41.1
20.221.3
Auto5.5
Teleop18.1
End4.8
Second
2386
#25
30.11.9
26.728.6
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End8.4
red by 9.2
6046
#37
21.00.7
15.716.4
Auto6.1
Teleop12.2
End2.7
Third
28.51.9
26.228.1
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1
red by 12.3
677
#40
16.21.1
11.913.0
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed