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Red77
220042.8
67716.2
540921.5
Blue98
223428.7
494636.6
493618.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72822040601001201407798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.4
38.839.1
Auto10.0
Teleop18.9
End13.9
red by 6.2
4946
#10
36.61.0
32.433.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.2
End4.2
Second
5409
#47
21.50.4
19.419.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.8
End4.5
blue by 7.2
2234
#15
28.71.0
27.128.1
Auto10.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
Third
677
#40
16.20.6
13.013.7
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End1.5
blue by 2.3
4936
#41
18.51.0
19.120.1
Auto3.5
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed