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Red77
468822.1
491741.2
77121.1
Blue75
493220.0
77233.6
285234.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8382657075808590951001057775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.2
37.237.0
Auto17.4
Teleop19.6
End4.3
red by 6.9
2852
#11
34.40.6
31.831.1
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Second
22.10.4
20.820.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.1
End2.5
blue by 11.5
772
#22
33.60.6
32.531.8
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Third
771
#18
21.10.2
22.322.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.4
red by 1.1
4932
#49
20.01.1
15.514.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed