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Red84
528822.0
490332.6
494035.0
Blue88
238630.1
434328.2
588528.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767840601001208488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4940
#23
35.00.7
33.834.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End8.7
red by 4.9
2386
#25
30.10.9
28.629.4
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End8.4
Second
4903
#31
32.61.1
23.324.4
Auto9.9
Teleop17.8
End5.0
red by 4.2
5885
#13
28.41.4
21.322.8
Auto5.5
Teleop18.1
End4.8
Third
5288
#42
22.01.1
17.018.1
Auto5.2
Teleop13.9
End2.9
blue by 6.2
4343
#19
28.20.9
25.326.1
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned