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Red46
357117.5
495126.6
375612.6
Blue120
205668.6
471617.6
611021.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53111010015046120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4951
#24
26.60.9
27.326.4
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End4.0
blue by 42.0
68.60.7
64.465.1
Auto19.2
Teleop35.6
End13.7
Second
3571
#14
17.51.5
18.216.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.8
End1.6
blue by 4.4
6110
#12
21.91.2
16.317.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End3.9
Third
3756
#52
12.61.5
14.112.6
Auto6.4
Teleop4.7
End1.5
blue by 5.0
4716
#35
17.60.7
18.519.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed25%Capture oddsMissed