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Red70
568913.4
613024.6
542626.5
Blue80
616217.8
136028.5
223428.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5479020401001201401607080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5426
#17
26.51.5
25.226.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End6.5
blue by 2.2
2234
#15
28.70.1
28.128.2
Auto10.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
Second
6130
#34
24.61.5
18.119.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.9
End4.7
blue by 3.9
28.50.1
28.128.2
Auto8.2
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Third
5689
#43
13.41.5
13.014.5
Auto0.9
Teleop9.0
End3.4
blue by 4.4
6162
#39
17.80.2
17.317.5
Auto1.8
Teleop12.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed