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Red107
133422.3
205668.6
490223.8
Blue64
604621.0
503925.8
223428.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10550015020010764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.9
60.461.3
Auto19.2
Teleop35.6
End13.7
red by 39.9
2234
#15
28.70.5
25.826.2
Auto10.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
Second
4902
#32
23.81.3
18.619.9
Auto8.9
Teleop12.1
End2.8
blue by 2.0
5039
#33
25.80.6
15.516.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.5
End4.8
Third
1334
#26
22.31.2
14.715.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.2
End2.5
red by 1.3
6046
#37
21.00.6
15.516.1
Auto6.1
Teleop12.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed