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Red80
130545.6
107523.6
611021.9
Blue62
77121.1
620227.8
493618.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904501001502008062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.1
44.944.9
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
red by 17.8
6202
#20
27.810.9
27.816.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End4.8
Second
1075
#44
23.60.1
20.620.5
Auto8.1
Teleop12.1
End3.4
red by 2.5
771
#18
21.10.9
20.121.0
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.4
Third
6110
#12
21.96.3
21.915.5
Auto5.7
Teleop12.3
End3.9
red by 3.4
4936
#41
18.50.8
14.715.5
Auto3.5
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned51%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed