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Red150
91040.1
434328.2
205668.6
Blue87
620227.8
605220.8
285234.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147695010020015087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.61.2
67.468.7
Auto19.2
Teleop35.6
End13.7
red by 34.3
2852
#11
34.40.5
32.432.9
Auto9.8
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Second
910
#1
40.11.2
38.339.5
Auto14.4
Teleop20.9
End4.8
red by 12.3
6202
#20
27.80.8
26.927.7
Auto6.1
Teleop16.9
End4.8
Third
4343
#19
28.21.2
26.027.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.0
End4.9
red by 7.4
6052
#46
20.80.8
19.720.6
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
35%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed