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Qual 682016 Windsor Essex Great Lakes Regional
Red100
494035.0
260934.1
223428.7
Blue99
130545.6
492026.6
493220.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038320406012014016010099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4940
#23
35.00.2
34.9→34.7
Auto9.5
Teleop16.9
End8.7
blue by 10.6
1305
#2
45.61.0
44.4→45.4
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
Second
2609
#27
34.10.2
33.0→32.8
Auto11.3
Teleop18.8
End4.0
red by 7.5
4920
#21
26.61.0
22.4→23.4
Auto8.3
Teleop12.5
End5.8
Third
2234
#15
28.70.2
29.8→29.6
Auto10.6
Teleop13.8
End4.3
red by 8.7
4932
#49
20.01.6
17.1→18.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed