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Red77
492314.9
238630.1
542626.5
Blue110
495126.6
130545.6
502428.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681095010015020077110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#25
30.10.0
29.929.9
Auto7.9
Teleop13.8
End8.4
blue by 15.5
45.60.3
45.445.7
Auto8.5
Teleop32.5
End4.7
Second
5426
#17
26.50.0
27.427.4
Auto8.1
Teleop11.8
End6.5
blue by 2.4
5024
#16
28.90.3
28.628.9
Auto9.2
Teleop15.6
End4.1
Third
4923
#50
14.90.0
14.914.9
Auto6.1
Teleop8.6
End0.3
blue by 11.7
4951
#24
26.60.3
26.326.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed35%Capture oddsEarned