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Red85
77121.1
67716.2
91040.1
Blue37
491419.5
568913.4
459511.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8347020601001201401608537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
910
#1
40.10.7
39.540.2
Auto14.4
Teleop20.9
End4.8
red by 20.6
4914
#30
19.51.6
21.119.5
Auto9.8
Teleop6.8
End3.0
Second
771
#18
21.10.7
20.521.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End1.4
red by 7.7
5689
#43
13.42.3
15.713.4
Auto0.9
Teleop9.0
End3.4
Third
677
#40
16.20.9
15.216.2
Auto8.1
Teleop6.6
End1.5
red by 4.5
4595
#51
11.72.3
13.911.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed