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Red192
247142.0
154047.8
546831.4
Blue119
411024.8
469227.5
135927.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1539250200250192119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.3
46.947.2
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End5.5
red by 20.0
1359
#19
27.80.3
27.427.8
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End5.2
Second
42.00.3
41.141.4
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End6.0
red by 14.6
4692
#12
27.50.3
27.127.5
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End5.2
Third
5468
#17
31.40.3
30.530.8
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End5.0
red by 6.7
4110
#15
24.80.3
24.424.8
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End4.4