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Red158
405733.5
302433.6
367321.0
Blue135
255030.7
597024.4
273326.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021018090110120130140150158135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.5
33.133.6
Auto9.3
Teleop19.6
End4.6
red by 2.9
30.70.2
30.530.7
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Second
4057
#10
33.50.5
33.033.5
Auto9.2
Teleop20.1
End4.2
red by 7.2
2733
#14
26.30.2
26.126.3
Auto7.6
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Third
3673
#27
21.00.5
20.521.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 3.3
24.40.2
24.224.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End3.7