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Red87
404321.8
200221.1
151025.7
Blue95
367430.5
430922.5
143218.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65642040801001208795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1510
#11
25.71.6
22.323.9
Auto6.1
Teleop15.4
End4.2
blue by 4.8
3674
#20
30.52.2
25.227.3
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End5.3
Second
4043
#32
21.81.6
23.825.4
Auto8.7
Teleop7.7
End5.4
blue by 0.7
4309
#26
22.52.4
22.424.8
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4
Third
2002
#16
21.11.6
17.118.7
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.7
red by 2.2
18.92.2
15.017.2
Auto9.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed