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Red69
291516.2
597519.5
405121.2
Blue157
154047.8
281133.0
237432.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46110010015069157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4051
#18
21.21.0
19.820.8
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 26.6
47.82.0
39.141.1
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End5.5
Second
5975
#30
19.51.0
17.618.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.1
End1.8
blue by 13.6
33.02.0
28.830.8
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End5.0
Third
2915
#29
16.21.0
16.717.7
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End0.5
blue by 16.7
32.92.0
29.031.0
Auto10.1
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned