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Red120
597024.4
281133.0
247142.0
Blue97
200221.1
546831.4
255030.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9379406010012014012097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.4
36.838.3
Auto14.1
Teleop21.9
End6.0
red by 10.6
5468
#17
31.41.2
29.931.0
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End5.0
Second
33.01.4
30.932.4
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End5.0
red by 2.4
30.71.2
27.328.5
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Third
24.41.4
20.622.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End3.7
red by 3.3
2002
#16
21.11.2
21.923.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.6
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed