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Red37
466217.2
404321.8
367430.5
Blue92
273326.3
154047.8
263522.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759040601001201403792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#20
30.52.9
29.626.8
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End5.3
blue by 17.3
47.80.4
43.543.9
Auto10.8
Teleop31.5
End5.5
Second
4043
#32
21.82.9
23.620.7
Auto8.7
Teleop7.7
End5.4
blue by 4.5
2733
#14
26.30.4
23.123.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Third
4662
#31
17.22.9
21.718.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.3
End1.8
blue by 5.1
2635
#21
22.30.4
19.019.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed