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Red70
545032.2
143218.9
302433.6
Blue99
469227.5
411024.8
413225.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8869204060801001201407099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.8
32.531.7
Auto9.3
Teleop19.6
End4.6
red by 6.1
4692
#12
27.51.3
25.326.6
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End5.2
Second
5450
#13
32.20.8
31.530.7
Auto8.2
Teleop19.0
End5.1
red by 6.4
25.81.3
22.924.2
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Third
18.90.8
18.317.5
Auto9.7
Teleop6.6
End2.5
blue by 5.9
4110
#15
24.81.3
21.422.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed