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Red62
135927.8
291516.2
367321.0
Blue80
430922.5
595615.3
405121.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66540204060801001206280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1359
#19
27.80.4
26.726.4
Auto10.9
Teleop11.6
End5.2
red by 5.3
4309
#26
22.50.3
20.320.0
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4
Second
3673
#27
21.00.4
19.218.9
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 0.2
4051
#18
21.20.3
19.919.6
Auto7.8
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
2915
#29
16.20.4
16.416.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.3
End0.5
red by 0.9
5956
#28
15.30.3
14.213.9
Auto1.5
Teleop13.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed