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Red106
367430.5
281133.0
430922.5
Blue107
413225.8
237432.9
263522.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106980200300400106107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.00.0
32.932.9
Auto10.4
Teleop17.7
End5.0
red by 0.1
32.90.0
32.732.7
Auto10.1
Teleop17.5
End5.3
Second
3674
#20
30.50.0
30.430.4
Auto7.6
Teleop17.7
End5.3
red by 4.7
25.80.0
25.625.6
Auto9.5
Teleop12.8
End3.6
Third
4309
#26
22.50.0
22.422.4
Auto9.8
Teleop9.4
End3.4
red by 0.2
2635
#21
22.30.0
22.122.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End3.3