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Red145
405733.5
302433.6
367321.0
Blue145
255030.7
597024.4
273326.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10110090110120130140145145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.3
32.833.1
Auto9.3
Teleop19.6
End4.6
red by 2.9
30.70.2
30.230.5
Auto7.6
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Second
4057
#10
33.50.3
32.733.0
Auto9.2
Teleop20.1
End4.2
red by 7.2
2733
#14
26.30.2
25.926.1
Auto7.6
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Third
3673
#27
21.00.3
20.220.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End3.3
blue by 3.3
24.40.2
23.924.2
Auto9.0
Teleop11.6
End3.7