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Red63
273325.3
75320.9
412715.8
Blue68
595610.2
142537.3
84718.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49470204060801006368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#15
25.31.7
17.419.2
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End4.6
blue by 11.9
37.32.4
28.831.2
Auto9.5
Teleop18.2
End9.5
Second
753
#13
20.91.7
16.017.7
Auto3.4
Teleop15.6
End1.9
red by 2.1
847
#28
18.82.4
10.913.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End4.1
Third
4127
#29
15.81.7
14.015.7
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End4.5
red by 5.6
5956
#18
10.22.4
6.58.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed