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Red62
367315.6
411022.7
154031.2
Blue65
95711.3
381221.1
95530.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52572040801006265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.7
25.125.8
Auto7.2
Teleop19.9
End4.2
red by 0.8
955
#10
30.50.6
28.228.8
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End4.6
Second
4110
#16
22.70.7
16.917.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End5.0
red by 1.6
3812
#24
21.10.6
12.713.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.6
End2.8
Third
3673
#30
15.60.7
9.09.7
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End2.9
red by 4.3
957
#34
11.30.6
13.814.4
Auto1.3
Teleop10.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed