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Red72
154031.2
291515.4
281118.7
Blue30
597520.0
319214.0
252117.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6340020801007230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.1
25.825.7
Auto7.2
Teleop19.9
End4.2
red by 11.2
5975
#11
20.01.4
14.312.9
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Second
2811
#20
18.70.1
19.619.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End2.2
red by 1.2
2521
#25
17.51.4
15.714.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End2.7
Third
2915
#33
15.40.1
12.512.4
Auto4.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
red by 1.4
3192
#26
14.01.4
12.411.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed