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Red47
75320.9
597018.4
84718.8
Blue62
367425.2
99726.4
263519.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4161020801004762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
#13
20.90.5
17.718.2
Auto3.4
Teleop15.6
End1.9
blue by 5.5
997
#8
26.40.5
23.923.4
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Second
847
#28
18.80.5
13.313.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End4.1
blue by 6.3
25.20.5
18.918.5
Auto3.9
Teleop17.4
End3.9
Third
5970
#19
18.40.5
11.912.3
Auto8.0
Teleop8.0
End2.4
blue by 1.3
2635
#27
19.70.5
13.312.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed