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Red49
273325.3
157115.4
597714.8
Blue61
404323.8
405115.0
412715.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6044020801001204961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2733
#15
25.30.8
23.722.9
Auto6.8
Teleop14.0
End4.6
red by 1.5
4043
#17
23.80.6
18.819.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End5.3
Second
1571
#32
15.40.8
18.517.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.3
End1.0
blue by 0.4
4127
#29
15.80.6
13.514.1
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End4.5
Third
5977
#35
14.80.8
14.013.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End1.2
blue by 0.2
4051
#12
15.00.6
13.313.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed