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Red42
291515.4
95711.3
466223.0
Blue80
142537.3
299026.7
546831.7
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331000501504280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4662
#14
23.00.0
17.117.1
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.1
blue by 14.3
37.30.8
35.735.0
Auto9.5
Teleop18.2
End9.5
Second
2915
#33
15.40.0
12.412.5
Auto4.7
Teleop8.5
End2.2
blue by 16.3
31.70.8
27.626.9
Auto7.6
Teleop19.0
End5.2
Third
957
#34
11.30.0
12.212.2
Auto1.3
Teleop10.1
End-0.1
blue by 15.5
26.70.8
23.422.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed