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Red44
299026.7
367315.6
405115.0
Blue25
597714.8
252117.5
151018.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475120304060704425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.3
23.323.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.2
red by 8.5
1510
#23
18.22.7
17.614.9
Auto4.0
Teleop13.0
End1.2
Second
3673
#30
15.60.3
10.910.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.3
End2.9
blue by 1.9
2521
#25
17.52.7
18.115.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.0
End2.7
Third
4051
#12
15.00.3
12.412.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.6
red by 0.2
5977
#35
14.82.7
13.310.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed