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Red10
412715.8
595610.2
263519.7
Blue59
99726.4
411022.7
597520.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions574802040801001201059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#27
19.74.9
20.615.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.4
End3.9
blue by 6.7
997
#8
26.41.2
21.622.8
Auto6.5
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Second
4127
#29
15.84.9
19.414.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.0
End4.5
blue by 6.9
4110
#16
22.71.2
13.014.2
Auto4.9
Teleop12.9
End5.0
Third
5956
#18
10.24.9
14.59.5
Auto1.8
Teleop7.3
End1.1
blue by 9.9
5975
#11
20.01.2
13.815.0
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsMissed28%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed