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Red69
170817.1
313828.4
306217.2
Blue82
34022.9
155928.1
261428.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567920401006982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
#29
28.41.3
23.925.1
Auto5.5
Teleop18.1
End4.7
red by 0.2
1559
#36
28.11.0
24.925.9
Auto6.2
Teleop16.5
End5.4
Second
3062
#47
17.21.3
12.713.9
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End2.9
blue by 10.9
2614
#21
28.10.6
27.928.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.9
End2.9
Third
1708
#43
17.11.3
21.222.4
Auto1.5
Teleop12.5
End3.0
blue by 5.8
340
#25
22.91.0
20.421.3
Auto7.0
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed