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Red77
130825.5
405024.9
499128.2
Blue99
112628.5
605424.6
415025.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions657040506080901007799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4991
#31
28.21.4
24.425.8
Auto8.7
Teleop17.7
End1.8
blue by 0.2
28.51.3
25.426.7
Auto8.7
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Second
1308
#34
25.51.4
21.122.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End5.4
red by 0.1
4150
#15
25.41.3
20.121.4
Auto6.6
Teleop14.4
End4.4
Third
4050
#14
24.91.4
18.820.2
Auto8.0
Teleop13.9
End3.0
red by 0.3
6054
#38
24.61.3
21.923.2
Auto10.3
Teleop11.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed