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Red69
139130.3
316714.1
255922.7
Blue62
223422.7
70915.9
164024.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions467502040601001201406962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.32.2
19.421.6
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.5
red by 5.7
1640
#27
24.60.7
29.929.2
Auto7.6
Teleop14.1
End2.9
Second
2559
#13
22.72.2
18.620.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.9
End4.1
Level
2234
#14
22.70.7
23.622.9
Auto9.4
Teleop9.2
End4.1
Third
3167
#31
14.12.2
11.313.5
Auto2.7
Teleop9.8
End1.5
blue by 1.8
709
#34
15.90.7
14.914.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
30%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed