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Red34
549016.6
219116.1
545721.9
Blue47
593815.3
622620.5
20318.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45540204060801003447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5457
#16
21.92.3
21.419.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.9
End2.9
red by 1.3
20.50.4
16.516.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.8
End3.3
Second
5490
#35
16.62.3
9.16.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.1
End3.0
blue by 2.3
203
#29
18.90.4
22.321.9
Auto2.1
Teleop14.2
End2.6
Third
2191
#18
16.12.3
14.412.1
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End2.5
red by 0.8
5938
#21
15.30.4
12.011.6
Auto0.4
Teleop11.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed31%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed