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Red47
245813.2
139130.3
8714.5
Blue67
255922.7
34135.2
253925.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566801001504767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.31.0
20.919.9
Auto8.8
Teleop16.9
End4.5
blue by 4.9
341
#4
35.20.8
24.023.2
Auto7.0
Teleop21.2
End7.0
Second
87
#36
14.51.0
19.518.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 10.7
2539
#11
25.20.8
18.017.2
Auto3.3
Teleop16.5
End5.4
Third
2458
#32
13.21.0
15.514.5
Auto0.6
Teleop11.0
End1.6
blue by 9.5
2559
#13
22.70.8
22.121.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed