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Red64
259028.2
164720.6
260729.9
Blue42
48620.8
20318.9
249517.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92620501506442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#12
29.93.4
29.225.8
Auto7.3
Teleop16.7
End5.9
red by 9.1
486
#24
20.83.6
19.916.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Second
2590
#22
28.23.4
33.029.6
Auto9.3
Teleop16.5
End2.4
red by 9.3
203
#29
18.93.6
25.922.3
Auto2.1
Teleop14.2
End2.6
Third
1647
#19
20.63.4
22.519.1
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End3.3
red by 2.9
2495
#37
17.73.6
18.915.3
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsMissed48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed