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Red98
22541.6
1133.7
42318.8
Blue123
70833.5
139130.6
223425.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191128010014016098123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
41.60.5
42.041.5
Auto11.1
Teleop24.7
End5.8
red by 8.0
708
#6
33.50.3
33.533.8
Auto7.6
Teleop16.2
End9.7
Second
11
#1
33.70.5
34.233.7
Auto9.0
Teleop20.6
End4.2
red by 3.1
30.60.3
30.630.9
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Third
423
#17
18.80.5
19.318.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End3.1
blue by 6.9
2234
#15
25.80.3
25.826.1
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End4.7