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Red140
22541.6
1133.7
42318.8
Blue117
70833.5
139130.6
223425.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171138090100110120130140140117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#2
41.60.1
41.541.4
Auto11.1
Teleop24.7
End5.8
red by 8.0
708
#6
33.50.2
33.833.6
Auto7.6
Teleop16.2
End9.7
Second
11
#1
33.70.1
33.733.6
Auto9.0
Teleop20.6
End4.2
red by 3.1
30.60.2
30.930.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Third
423
#17
18.80.1
18.818.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.8
End3.1
blue by 6.9
2234
#15
25.80.2
26.125.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.4
End4.7