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Red100
121830.2
27227.9
445431.8
Blue60
70919.1
171223.9
116823.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions965002040608012014010060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.9
32.133.1
Auto7.5
Teleop19.4
End5.0
red by 7.9
1712
#22
23.90.5
18.218.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.2
End4.5
Second
30.20.9
26.727.7
Auto9.1
Teleop16.7
End4.4
red by 7.0
1168
#20
23.20.5
20.821.3
Auto1.6
Teleop16.9
End4.8
Third
272
#11
27.91.6
27.228.7
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.4
red by 8.8
709
#16
19.10.3
16.316.6
Auto6.6
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed