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Red40
392920.3
137022.1
209528.4
Blue100
22541.6
540434.5
30421.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6587408010012014040100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.41.8
27.725.9
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End4.4
blue by 13.1
225
#2
41.62.1
34.936.9
Auto11.1
Teleop24.7
End5.8
Second
1370
#28
22.12.9
16.713.7
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.4
blue by 12.4
34.52.1
29.631.7
Auto6.9
Teleop24.0
End3.6
Third
3929
#26
20.32.9
22.219.2
Auto8.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2
blue by 0.8
304
#30
21.11.2
16.918.1
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed