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Red71
48418.0
397435.8
13612.6
Blue118
139130.6
540434.5
29322.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5491020408010012014016071118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#12
35.81.4
32.333.7
Auto11.1
Teleop18.4
End6.3
red by 1.3
34.51.0
32.934.0
Auto6.9
Teleop24.0
End3.6
Second
484
#23
18.01.3
12.914.2
Auto5.8
Teleop8.1
End4.0
blue by 12.6
30.60.7
31.031.7
Auto7.8
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Third
136
#31
12.61.4
12.914.3
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End0.6
blue by 9.4
293
#21
22.01.1
19.120.2
Auto5.1
Teleop14.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed