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Red88
27227.9
171223.9
392920.3
Blue66
463719.1
437317.4
137022.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69470204060801001208866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#11
27.92.6
29.632.1
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.4
red by 5.8
1370
#28
22.10.8
13.814.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.9
End1.4
Second
1712
#22
23.92.7
15.518.3
Auto6.3
Teleop13.2
End4.5
red by 4.8
4637
#13
19.10.8
19.620.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Third
3929
#26
20.32.6
18.320.8
Auto8.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2
red by 2.8
4373
#29
17.40.8
15.616.4
Auto0.7
Teleop13.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed