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Red75
434227.1
30421.1
20326.5
Blue119
70833.5
21924.6
397435.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649420408012014075119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4342
#14
27.10.4
24.925.3
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End4.5
blue by 8.7
3974
#12
35.82.8
33.736.5
Auto11.1
Teleop18.4
End6.3
Second
203
#10
26.50.2
23.423.6
Auto6.4
Teleop17.7
End2.4
blue by 7.0
708
#6
33.51.8
30.432.2
Auto7.6
Teleop16.2
End9.7
Third
304
#30
21.10.2
18.418.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.5
blue by 3.5
219
#25
24.61.8
22.924.7
Auto6.9
Teleop13.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned