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Red82
171223.9
463719.1
209528.4
Blue42
27227.9
13612.6
10324.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647720401001208242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.41.2
25.827.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.3
End4.4
red by 0.6
272
#11
27.93.0
32.129.1
Auto8.7
Teleop13.8
End5.4
Second
1712
#22
23.91.8
18.320.1
Auto6.3
Teleop13.2
End4.5
blue by 1.0
103
#18
24.93.2
26.423.2
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End6.4
Third
4637
#13
19.11.8
20.422.2
Auto6.0
Teleop10.4
End2.6
red by 6.5
136
#31
12.63.2
14.311.1
Auto2.3
Teleop9.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed