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Red74
540132.7
260726.9
463721.9
Blue65
164043.3
137019.2
549018.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7283501001507465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.2
22.422.6
Auto3.9
Teleop19.8
End9.1
blue by 10.7
43.31.6
37.636.0
Auto13.8
Teleop24.4
End5.1
Second
2607
#36
26.90.2
29.329.4
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End3.7
red by 7.7
1370
#37
19.21.6
22.020.4
Auto8.6
Teleop9.7
End0.9
Third
4637
#12
21.90.2
20.020.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.6
End2.0
red by 3.9
5490
#25
18.11.6
19.317.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed