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Red83
10324.5
540725.8
171226.3
Blue126
22551.6
465331.1
495433.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7311005015020083126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1712
#20
26.30.5
27.728.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.9
End4.1
blue by 25.3
225
#1
51.61.3
44.045.3
Auto13.7
Teleop29.2
End8.8
Second
5407
#11
25.80.5
22.923.3
Auto10.3
Teleop11.8
End3.6
blue by 7.6
33.41.3
27.228.5
Auto9.4
Teleop18.4
End5.6
Third
103
#17
24.50.5
25.626.1
Auto2.0
Teleop17.1
End5.4
blue by 6.6
31.11.3
29.931.2
Auto8.9
Teleop16.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned